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We document a significant decline in long-run GDP growth in the United States, the bulk of this slowdown occurred prior to the Great Recession.
The authors analyse multi-asset trend, carry, and volatility returns, explaining why they exist, the benefits they confer to a traditional balanced portfolio, and the risks.
For many months, as dark clouds have gathered over the Chinese economy, it has seemed obvious that the authorities might be tempted to press an escape button that has been used by all the other major economies since 2008.
This is the latest of a monthly series of research notes on the recent behaviour of global economic activity.
The recent sharp decline in the Chinese domestic “A” share market has raised fears that the market has been in a bubble.
This research note contains our regular monthly “report card” on global activity for June 2015.